16 February, 2008
A lot of people ask me about getting mortgages on property in Dubai, so I thought I should shed a little light on the subject.
With so much freehold on the Dubai market, and something for all different types of income level, be it modest or very high, putting the finance in place to take advantage of the market is key. Over recent years the Dubai property market has benefitted not just from better regulation and property law, but also from increasing choice when taking out a mortgage.
The old situation
Early buyers looking for a mortgage were severely restricted in doing so because just about the only options were the financial subsidiaries of the two main developers Emaar and Nakheel. That was about it, as they were the first property developers on the market, and there was no stable law in place.
Fast forward to now
These days, the government has completely opened up the property mortgage market, making it a more competitive place and of huge benefit to buyers. A lot more banks are offering mortgages at competitive rates. The choice of lenders includes RakBank, HSBC, National Bank of Dubai, Mashreq Bank, Barclays and many, many more. Here is a great mortgage table which outlines some of the options.
If you are serious about making money from property investments, and you're lookingat Dubai speak to me and I will put you directly in touch with my mortgage experts who can help.
Predicting the Dubai property market
16 November, 2007
Here's an interesting excerpt from an article by Ryan Mahoney of The Gulf News, published today.
Here's an interesting excerpt from an article by Ryan Mahoney of The Gulf News, published today.
If I had a dirham for every time I was asked what is going to happen to property prices in this market I would have built up a tidy sum by now! The truth of the matter is that nobody has the definitive answer, we can debate for hours on end and come up with a likely scenario, but without a crystal ball it's tricky. It is possible however, to look to other similar markets and consider the natural cycle of real estate for guidance so for what its worth, here are my thoughts on one of the most frequently asked questions in Dubai.
There are many factors that affect the price of property but the biggest single factor that has influenced the Dubai market over recent times has been supply and demand. At a time when the majority of units are still under construction, we have seen an incredible level of demand for all types of properties; from apartments to villas and warehouses to office towers.
When the freehold property law was introduced, the Dubai property boom was born. Attractive launch prices along with unique and aspirational projects such as The Palm Jumeirah and The World made Dubai an investor's paradise. Speculators looked for quick returns by capitalising on an untapped market, expatriates bought somewhere to live and holidaymakers looked to these shores for a second home.
Ever since, demand has continued to increase, pushing prices up with it, providing investors with fantastic returns, both in terms of capital growth and leasing revenue. Such increases have spurred more people to buy here, creating further demand and driving prices up.
The massive influx of people, driven by Dubai's positioning as a major business hub for the region and a luxury holiday destination, has created an insatiable demand for property. All new residents need a place to stay and in the same way, multinationals need business premises. The pace of growth means there hasn't been enough property to go around and therefore, any completed property available for sale or lease has been at a premium rate.
The second biggest factor affecting the supply shortfall, and therefore prices, is delivery delays. In many cases, construction has taken far longer than was ever expected, adding further pressure to an already strained market.
So getting back to where I started; what does the future hold? Dubai is currently a hive of construction activity and as each development reaches completion, more products become available. However, as these projects are delivered, there will, of course, be more and more people relocating to Dubai for work, the number of which will affect how long it takes for supply to even out. The nature of real estate suggests that at this point we could see a levelling of prices.
Ultimately though, I don't see anything drastic happening to prices. Dubai still has a lot to offer buyers. With increased regulations adding further credibility to the market, and the current strength of some foreign currencies making Dubai property more affordable, as well as some exciting new projects underway, demand should remain a firm favourite with buyers for some time to come.
Inflation sparking price rises in Dubai
13 November, 2007
Inflation is sparking property price rises in Dubai as supply continues to lag behind demand. Fears from some quarters that an imminent oversupply of real estate in Dubai would depress the sector in 2008 have now been pushed back by most observers to 2010, due to construction capacity constraints and the continued tide of new immigration. Indeed, the main concern is that local inflationary pressures are going to drive rents and prices higher.
It was not very long ago that Dubai property watchers believed that this autumn would be the moment that the market tipped into oversupply, with the prospect of declining prices and rents in 2008.
But today it would be hard to find a single analyst supporting that view. The new consensus is that construction delays and the continuing economic boom in Dubai mean that it will be 2010 at least before the proverbial shoe drops, and even then the slowdown will be gradual rather than a bursting of a bubble.
Why is it that the harbingers of doom have been so convincingly trounced by the outcome this autumn?
The short answer is that analysts overestimated the speed at which construction projects could be completed in Dubai. According to the original schedule, The Palm Jumeirah should have been completely finished by the end of this year, and yet the contract for the landmark Trump hotel complex has only just been awarded and the hotel sites on the crescent remain vacant.
Analysts also underestimated the strength and longevity of the Dubai economic boom. Again this can be forgiven, who would have forecast oil at $96-a-barrel even two years ago?
What is on the agenda instead for the immediate future is a period of further supply and demand pressures on the local housing stock in Dubai. That will mean higher rents and selling prices. This will be compounded by the impact of falling local mortgage rates. There will be more money available to pursue the limited housing stock and prices will be driven even higher.
At some point these pressures will ease. Perhaps the world economy will slow and consume less oil and that cools the Dubai economy with a lag of around six months. And eventually the mega projects will deliver a supply of property nearer to the level of demand.
However, the fact of the matter is that earlier wary forecasts have proven misleading. At least now observers are taking a more detached and skeptical view of the information on offer, and that might mean that the conclusions drawn are that bit more accurate. But we will probably have to wait until 2010 before that can be really known.
Personally I put little sway in the wary forecasters; its easy to play safe but rarely does safe equate to gains. My view is that no-one can predict the longer term future, but if gains are there to be had now, 1 - 3 years, then strike and take what you can and don't miss the boat. I like to compare the whole situation with the current UK market: invest in UK now and you may achieve some moderate appreciation over the next 2 - 5 years, may, but nothing stellar. In fact, right now in the UK the wary observers are predicting a slight correction in 2008, which is not good for investors. Invest in Dubia property now and you get the short-term gains, the huge potential for continued long-term gains, and in my view a lot less risk than the UK. Will your Dubai investment be underwater in 1 year's time - HIGHLY unlikely.
Inflation is sparking property price rises in Dubai as supply continues to lag behind demand. Fears from some quarters that an imminent oversupply of real estate in Dubai would depress the sector in 2008 have now been pushed back by most observers to 2010, due to construction capacity constraints and the continued tide of new immigration. Indeed, the main concern is that local inflationary pressures are going to drive rents and prices higher.
It was not very long ago that Dubai property watchers believed that this autumn would be the moment that the market tipped into oversupply, with the prospect of declining prices and rents in 2008.
But today it would be hard to find a single analyst supporting that view. The new consensus is that construction delays and the continuing economic boom in Dubai mean that it will be 2010 at least before the proverbial shoe drops, and even then the slowdown will be gradual rather than a bursting of a bubble.
Why is it that the harbingers of doom have been so convincingly trounced by the outcome this autumn?
The short answer is that analysts overestimated the speed at which construction projects could be completed in Dubai. According to the original schedule, The Palm Jumeirah should have been completely finished by the end of this year, and yet the contract for the landmark Trump hotel complex has only just been awarded and the hotel sites on the crescent remain vacant.
Analysts also underestimated the strength and longevity of the Dubai economic boom. Again this can be forgiven, who would have forecast oil at $96-a-barrel even two years ago?
What is on the agenda instead for the immediate future is a period of further supply and demand pressures on the local housing stock in Dubai. That will mean higher rents and selling prices. This will be compounded by the impact of falling local mortgage rates. There will be more money available to pursue the limited housing stock and prices will be driven even higher.
At some point these pressures will ease. Perhaps the world economy will slow and consume less oil and that cools the Dubai economy with a lag of around six months. And eventually the mega projects will deliver a supply of property nearer to the level of demand.
However, the fact of the matter is that earlier wary forecasts have proven misleading. At least now observers are taking a more detached and skeptical view of the information on offer, and that might mean that the conclusions drawn are that bit more accurate. But we will probably have to wait until 2010 before that can be really known.
Personally I put little sway in the wary forecasters; its easy to play safe but rarely does safe equate to gains. My view is that no-one can predict the longer term future, but if gains are there to be had now, 1 - 3 years, then strike and take what you can and don't miss the boat. I like to compare the whole situation with the current UK market: invest in UK now and you may achieve some moderate appreciation over the next 2 - 5 years, may, but nothing stellar. In fact, right now in the UK the wary observers are predicting a slight correction in 2008, which is not good for investors. Invest in Dubia property now and you get the short-term gains, the huge potential for continued long-term gains, and in my view a lot less risk than the UK. Will your Dubai investment be underwater in 1 year's time - HIGHLY unlikely.
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